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IEA Monthly Report: Despite the rising demand, the oil market will be fully supplied in 2025. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday that although OPEC+extended the reduction of oil supply and the demand forecast was slightly higher than expected, the global oil market will be fully supplied in 2025. In its monthly oil market report, the agency said that its forecast of global oil demand growth in 2025 was raised from 990,000 barrels per day last month to 1.1 million barrels per day, "mainly from Asian countries, especially affected by China's recent stimulus measures".Interbank certificates of deposit funds are popular. In the context of the current downward trend of non-bank interbank deposit rates, interbank deposit rates are relatively more attractive, and interbank deposit funds have recently gained popularity. Since December, the 7-day holding fund of AAA index of China Securities Interbank Deposits issued by BlackRock Fund and Agricultural Bank of China Credit Suisse Fund has reached the upper limit of 5 billion yuan, and triggered proportional placement. Both funds are partially confirmed by the principle of "doomsday ratio confirmation", and the doomsday confirmation ratio is 73.36% and 27.02% respectively. In addition, Huatai Bairui Fund and China-Canada Fund also imposed subscription restrictions on their 7-day holding funds of the AAA Index of China Securities Interbank Deposits. From December 11th, the amount of multiple cumulative subscriptions (including conversion and fixed investment) for a single fund account of Huatai Bairui CSI Interbank Deposit Certificate AAA Index 7-day holding fund shall not exceed 100,000 yuan; From December 6th, the subscription amount of a single investor of the 7-day holding fund of China-Canada CSI Interbank Deposit Certificate AAA Index will not exceed 10 million yuan (except for individual investors and public asset management products). (CSI Taurus)Reuters survey: Most economists expect Britain to basically avoid the impact of Trump tariffs. According to the Reuters survey, most economists expect that US President-elect Trump will impose tariffs of less than 10% or not at all on goods imported from Britain next year, which will have little impact on the British economy. This is in stark contrast to a similar poll last month. Last month's polls showed that people were generally worried that the EU would be hit harder. Britain officially withdrew from the EU in 2020. Part of the reason why economists are more optimistic about Britain is that although one-fifth of Britain's total trade is with the United States, the proposed tariffs will focus on goods, and only one-third of Britain's exports are goods.

Lu Dongsheng was appointed Deputy Secretary and General Manager of the Party Committee of Shanghai Futures Exchange. The Party Committee of China Securities Regulatory Commission decided that Comrade Lu Dongsheng was appointed Deputy Secretary and General Manager of the Party Committee of Shanghai Futures Exchange. Comrade Wang Fenghai no longer serves as deputy secretary and general manager of the Party Committee of Shanghai Futures Exchange. (website of last issue)Reuters survey: In December, the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates unchanged or cut interest rates by 100 basis points next year. All 71 economists surveyed during December 6-11 predicted that the Bank of England would keep its target interest rate unchanged at 4.75% at its meeting on December 19. Among the economists who predict the interest rate outlook until the end of 2025, about 54% (36 out of 67) expect to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by the end of next year, another 17 expect to cut interest rates by at least 125 basis points, and 14 expect to cut interest rates by at most 75 basis points.The Japanese yen faces new risks. Strategists worry that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later to raise interest rates. A new risk is emerging for the Japanese yen. Foreign exchange strategists in Tokyo warn that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later next year to raise interest rates. On Wednesday, the market tasted this danger, and the yen fell to its lowest level in more than two weeks as traders responded to a Bloomberg report that the Bank of Japan is known to think that it is no harm to raise interest rates later. The yen only fell to 152.82 against the dollar, and the market is still debating whether the Bank of Japan will take action at its next meeting on December 19 or about a month later. Shusuke Yamada, head of Japan's foreign exchange and interest rate strategy at Bank of America in Tokyo, said that if policymakers put off raising interest rates for a longer time, the situation would be very different. "If the interest rate hike is postponed until March, the yen carry trade is likely to make a comeback," Yamada said on Thursday. "The yen is likely to fall again to a level just below the 157 mark hit in 155 or November."

The Syrian Sharm el-Liberation Organization said that it would disband the Syrian government security forces. On December 11th, Giulani, leader of the Syrian Sharm el-Liberation Organization, said in a statement to Reuters that he would disband the Syrian government security forces and close the prison.Reuters survey: Most economists expect Britain to basically avoid the impact of Trump tariffs. According to the Reuters survey, most economists expect that US President-elect Trump will impose tariffs of less than 10% or not at all on goods imported from Britain next year, which will have little impact on the British economy. This is in stark contrast to a similar poll last month. Last month's polls showed that people were generally worried that the EU would be hit harder. Britain officially withdrew from the EU in 2020. Part of the reason why economists are more optimistic about Britain is that although one-fifth of Britain's total trade is with the United States, the proposed tariffs will focus on goods, and only one-third of Britain's exports are goods.Li Ka-shing's H-share shareholding in China Postal Savings Bank decreased from 5.07% to 4.96%.